Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings : Chicago Bulls Under 131.5 Team Total Points (-526)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on 'Chicago Bulls Under 131.5' points is a prudent choice, primarily due to the team's recent scoring trends. Over their last five games, the Bulls have averaged 108.6 points overall and 107.4 points at home, both substantially below the 131.5 total bet line. Moreover, the model prediction supports this trend, forecasting a total of 119.31 points, a significant 12.19 points below the total line. This suggests a low probability of the Bulls reaching the 131.5 points mark. Furthermore, the Kings have been relatively effective at limiting their opponents' scoring, with the Bulls' recent opponents averaging just 105.6 points. Therefore, based on these statistics, betting on the Bulls to score under 131.5 points appears to be a solid choice.
Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings : Sacramento Kings 5.5 (-112)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Sacramento Kings have a solid record against the Chicago Bulls, winning their last two encounters. The Kings' scoring power has been superior in recent games, with an average L5 score of 113.2 compared to the Bulls' 108.6. Moreover, when playing away, the Kings have an impressive average score of 118.6, significantly higher than the Bulls' home score of 107.4. Despite the Kings' lesser away record (1-4) compared to the Bulls' home record (3-2), the Kings have demonstrated a stronger performance against the spread with a 3-2 record, versus the Bulls' 2-3. Given these stats, betting on the Kings to beat a 5.5 point spread seems a sound choice.
Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings : Sacramento Kings win (+164)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Sacramento Kings' bet is statistically reasoned. Despite the Kings' recent overall performance (1-4), they have a stronger head-to-head record against the Bulls in their last 5 matches (2-0), indicating a favorable match-up. Moreover, the Kings' scoring has been robust, averaging 113.2 points over the last 5 games, compared to the Bulls' 108.6, and this gap widens when considering away games, with Kings averaging 118.6 points vs. Bulls' 107.4 at home. These scoring statistics suggest a potential advantage for the Kings. Although the model predicts a Bulls win, the Kings' favorable history against the Bulls and their superior scoring, particularly in away games, provide a compelling rationale for this bet.
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