Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers : NA Moneyline (+136)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers in the head-to-head market is statistically promising based on several key metrics. Over their last five games, the Steelers have an overall positive average point differential of 1.8 and a considerably higher average EPA (Expected Points Added) differential of 3.53. Their offensive stats also show a high explosive rate for (0.23), suggesting they are creating more big-play opportunities. In contrast, the away team has a slight average point differential of 0.4 and a minimal EPA differential of 0.16, indicating they are not producing as efficiently as the Steelers. They also give up more yards per game (381 vs. 360.2) and have a higher turnover rate. Moreover, the Steelers' home record is better (4-1) compared to the away team's (2-3), which is an additional advantage. Given these stats, it's reasonable to believe the Steelers will continue their strong performance and have a good chance
D'Andre Swift (CHI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+135)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
D'Andre Swift's recent performance doesn't lend much confidence in betting on him to score a touchdown at any point in the game. His overall hit rates are low, with him scoring in just 19 of his last 57 games overall and 12 out of 29 home games. Additionally, his recent hit rates are significantly lower: he's scored in only 1 of his last 10 games overall and 2 out of his last 10 home games. In fact, Swift hasn't scored a touchdown in his last 5 games overall and his last 5 home games. He's currently on a zero-game touchdown streak both at home and overall. Given these statistics, it seems unlikely that Swift will break his scoring drought in the upcoming game against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers : Under 45.5 Total Points (-110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 45.5 bet for this game is statistically motivated by several factors. First, the home team's last five home games have seen an average combined score of just 37.8 points, well below the line. The away team's last five away games have seen a higher average combined score of 48.4, but this is skewed by an average of 26.4 points scored against them, indicating a weaker defense. They've only managed to put up an average of 22 points themselves. Moreover, the home team has a strong record of creating turnovers, with an average of 2 turnovers forced per game over the last five games. This can limit the away team's scoring opportunities. The expected points added (EPA) stats also suggest a likely low-scoring game. The home team's EPA differential for their last five home games is positive at 4.69, indicating they are efficient in both offense and defense. Given these stats, the game is
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