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UFC predictions for Saturday, November 7: the model backs Keiichiro Nakamura

10 UFC fights on Saturday. The model's strongest pick is Keiichiro Nakamura to win, a HIGH-confidence call.

By Tyler Brennan · Published Nov 6, 9:30 PM UTC · Updated Nov 7, 3:30 AM UTC

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Andre Petroski vs Mantas Kondratavicius

Sat Nov 7
Our pick: Over 1.5 rounds+169

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Andre Petroski and Mantas Kondratavicius both have their own strengths in this fight.

Austin Bashi vs Carlos Calderon

Sat Nov 7
Our pick: Carlos Calderon to win+430

LONG-SHOT — about a 2 in 10 chance by our numbers

In this UFC matchup, Carlos Calderon has a chance to surprise everyone against Austin Bashi.

Jonny Parsons vs José Souza

Sat Nov 7
José Souza at Jonny Parsons · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Jonny Parsons vs Jose Henrique

Sat Nov 7
Jose Henrique at Jonny Parsons · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Jose Delano vs Murtazali Magomedov

Sat Nov 7
Murtazali Magomedov at Jose Delano · Total Rounds Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes

Sat Nov 7
Gabriella Fernandes at Karine Silva · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid

Sat Nov 7
Top pick: Keiichiro Nakamura to win-323

HIGH — about an 8 in 10 chance by our numbers

Keiichiro Nakamura comes into this fight looking strong, and our numbers rate him as a solid favorite.

Mitch Raposo vs Marcos Degli

Sat Nov 7
Marcos Degli at Mitch Raposo · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Priscila Cachoeira vs Nina Miloševic

Sat Nov 7
Nina Miloševic at Priscila Cachoeira · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenço

Sat Nov 7
Gabriel Lorenço at Thomas Petersen · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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